Benutzer: Gast  Login
Titel:

A novel probabilistic risk analysis to determine the vulnerability of ecosystems to extreme climatic events

Dokumenttyp:
Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Autor(en):
van Oijen, Marcel; Beer, Christian; Cramer, Wolfgang; Rammig, Anja; Reichstein, Markus; Rolinski, Susanne; Soussana, Jean-Francois
Abstract:
We present a simple method of probabilistic risk analysis for ecosystems. The only requirements are time series---modelled or measured---of environment and ecosystem variables. Risk is defined as the product of hazard probability and ecosystem vulnerability. Vulnerability is the expected difference in ecosystem performance between years with and without hazardous conditions. We show an application to drought risk for net primary productivity of coniferous forests across Europe, for both recent a...     »
Zeitschriftentitel:
Environmental Research Letters
Jahr:
2013
Band / Volume:
8
Heft / Issue:
1
Seitenangaben Beitrag:
015032
 BibTeX