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Title:

Subset Simulation for Estimating Small Failure Probabilities of an Aerial System Subject to Atmospheric Turbulences

Document type:
Konferenzbeitrag
Author(s):
Löbl, David; Holzapfel, Florian
Abstract:
Estimation of small failure probabilities is an important task for model based safety analysis. Classical Monte Carlo simulations are no viable option due to the high number of samples required to achieve an adequately high level of confidence. To overcome this performance limitation, this paper focuses on a method called subset simulation where the probability of an unlikely event is computed using a sequence of events with larger conditional probabilities. Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulations...     »
Book / Congress title:
AIAA Atmospheric Flight Mechanics Conference
Year:
2015
Covered by:
Scopus; Web of Science
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