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Title:

Air traffic growth, energy, and the environment 2040: drivers, challenges, and opportunities for aviation

Document type:
Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Author(s):
Randt, Niclas P.
Abstract:
Although many forecasts predict a stable development of commercial aviation within the upcoming decade, its further development remains uncertain. Aviation stakeholders usually develop strategies on a short-term basis, while public institutions have set ambitious long-term goals for the industry. This paper shows how scenario planning can aid in handling uncertainty in long-term strategy development. Three decisive factors are explored: the increasing scarcity of resources, the change of global...     »
Keywords:
air traffic growth; resource scarcity; global climate change; mobility demand; commercial aviation; scenario planning; strategy development; future uncertainty; future challenges; future scenarios; foresight project; aviation management; long-term goals; future air transport.
Dewey Decimal Classification:
620 Ingenieurwissenschaften
Journal title:
International Journal of Aviation Management
Year:
2015
Journal volume:
2
Year / month:
2015-08
Journal issue:
3/4
Pages contribution:
144-166
Language:
en
Fulltext / DOI:
doi:10.1504/IJAM.2015.072377
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