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Title:

Quantifying probabilities of exceeding the maximum Mach number in cruise flight using operational flight data

Document type:
Konferenzbeitrag
Author(s):
Drees, Ludwig; Siegel, Joachim; Koppitz, Phillip; Holzapfel, Florian
Abstract:
We present a novel approach that enables a single airline to quantify its probability of exceeding the maximum Mach number in cruise flight, a so-called Mach burst event, using the airline’s operational flight data. First, an incident model is developed that includes the physics-based relationships between aircraft-specific and environmental factors that determine the current aircraft’s Mach number. The statistics of the environmental factors, specifically changes in air temperature and wind spe...     »
Book / Congress title:
European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL)
Year:
2017
Covered by:
Scopus; Web of Science
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