Sampling exchangeable and hierarchical Marshall-Olkin distributions
Dokumenttyp:
Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Autor(en):
Mai, J.-F.; Scherer, M.
Nicht-TUM Koautoren:
nein
Kooperation:
-
Abstract:
The classical motivation of the Marshall-Olkin distribution is a d-dimensional frailty model. Independent exponentially distributed random variables represent the arrival times of shocks that destroy subgroups of a vector with d components. Sampling the resulting random vector of extinction times is conceptually straightforward. Firstly, all possible shocks are sampled. Secondly, the extinction time of each component is computed. However, implementing this sampling scheme involves 2^d-1 random variables and requires finding the minimum of a set with 2^(d-1) elements for each component. Thus, the overall effort is exponentially increasing in the number of considered components, preventing the model from being used in high-dimensional simulation studies. This problem is overcome for the subfamily of exchangeable Marshall-Olkin distributions, for which a sampling algorithm with polynomial effort in d(O(d^3)) is presented. In a second step, it is shown how hierarchical models are constructed from exchangeable structures. The presented algorithm is then adapted to sample such structures.
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The classical motivation of the Marshall-Olkin distribution is a d-dimensional frailty model. Independent exponentially distributed random variables represent the arrival times of shocks that destroy subgroups of a vector with d components. Sampling the resulting random vector of extinction times is conceptually straightforward. Firstly, all possible shocks are sampled. Secondly, the extinction time of each component is computed. However, implementing this sampling scheme involves 2^d-1 random v...
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