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Document type:
Masterarbeit 
Author(s):
Fabian Obster 
Title:
Statistical modeling of fatalities caused by political violence 
Abstract:
We provide a statistical model to predict and understand the number of fatalities caused by political violence in the administrative regions in Africa one quarter ahead in time. We address several modeling challenges like zero-inflation, misclassification of the conditional variance, by using a Hurdle model based on a negative binomial regression. By fitting all distribution parameters of the zero-truncated negative binomial distribution, we are able to tackle possible over-dispersion and give m...    »
 
Subject:
MAT Mathematik 
DDC:
510 Mathematik 
Advisor:
Mathias Drton 
Date of acceptation:
24.01.2021 
Year:
2021 
Quarter:
1. Quartal 
Year / month:
2021-01 
Month:
Jan 
Pages:
85 
Language:
en 
University:
Technische Universität München 
Faculty:
Fakultät für Mathematik 
TUM Institution:
Lehrstuhl für Mathematische Statistik