Benutzer: Gast  Login
Titel:

A Markov Chain Model of Tornadic Activity

Dokumenttyp:
Zeitschriftenaufsatz
Autor(en):
Drton, Mathias; Marzban, Caren; Guttorp, Peter; Schaefer, Joseph T.
Abstract:
Tornadic activity in four U.S. regions is stochastically modeled based on data on tornado counts over the years 1953–98. It is shown that tornadic activity on a given day is mostly affected by the activity on the previous day. Hence, the process can be modeled as a Markov chain. A parametric nonhomogenous Markov chain model is developed based on the well-known increase of tornadic activity in the spring and summer months. This model, with only eight parameters, describes tornadic activity quite...     »
Dewey Dezimalklassifikation:
510 Mathematik
Zeitschriftentitel:
Monthly Weather Review
Jahr:
2003
Band / Volume:
131
Jahr / Monat:
2003-12
Quartal:
4. Quartal
Monat:
Dec
Heft / Issue:
12
Seitenangaben Beitrag:
2941-2953
Sprache:
en
Volltext / DOI:
doi:10.1175/1520-0493(2003)131<2941:amcmot>2.0.co;2
WWW:
American Meteorological Society
Verlag / Institution:
American Meteorological Society
E-ISSN:
0027-06441520-0493
Publikationsdatum:
01.12.2003
 BibTeX