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Title:

Integration of Vine Copula Dependence Structures into Subset Simulation for Accident Probability Quantifications

Document type:
Konferenzbeitrag
Author(s):
Höhndorf, Lukas; Wang, Chong; Koppitz, Phillip; Weiß, Sebastian; Olmos, Sergio; Czado, Claudia; Holzapfel, Florian
Abstract:
To estimate accident probabilities for commercial airlines, a sampling method called subset simulation is used at the Institute of Flight System Dynamics. Thereby, a physical model is utilized that considers a set of contributing factors and returns a so-called incident metric which describes the criticality of the particular flight with respect to a specific accident category. For accident probability estimations, multiple high-dimensional samples, i.e. virtual flights a...     »
Book / Congress title:
ICAS 31st Congress of the International Council of the Aeronautical Science
Year:
2018
Covered by:
Scopus; Web of Science
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