Calculating the individual probability of successful ocriplasmin treatment in eyes with VMT syndrome: a multivariable prediction model from the EXPORT study.

Paul, Christoph; Heun, Christine; Muller, Hans-Helge; Hoerauf, Hans; Feltgen, Nicolas; Wachtlin, Joachim; Kaymak, Hakan; Mennel, Stefan; Koss, Michael Janusz; Fauser, Sascha; Maier, Mathias M; Schumann, Ricarda G; Mueller, Simone; Chang, Petrus; Schmitz-Valckenberg, Steffen; Kazerounian, Sara; Szurman, Peter; Lommatzsch, Albrecht; Bertelmann, Thomas

doi:10.1136/bjophthalmol-2017-310874

2017

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Title:: Calculating the individual probability of successful ocriplasmin treatment in eyes with VMT syndrome: a multivariable prediction model from the EXPORT study.
Document type:: Journal Article
Author(s):: Paul, Christoph; Heun, Christine; Muller, Hans-Helge; Hoerauf, Hans; Feltgen, Nicolas; Wachtlin, Joachim; Kaymak, Hakan; Mennel, Stefan; Koss, Michael Janusz; Fauser, Sascha; Maier, Mathias M; Schumann, Ricarda G; Mueller, Simone; Chang, Petrus; Schmitz-Valckenberg, Steffen; Kazerounian, Sara; Szurman, Peter; Lommatzsch, Albrecht; Bertelmann, Thomas
Abstract:: To evaluate predictive factors for the treatment success of ocriplasmin and to use these factors to generate a multivariate model to calculate the individual probability of successful treatment.Data were collected in a retrospective, multicentre cohort study. Patients with vitreomacular traction (VMT) syndrome without a full-thickness macular hole were included if they received an intravitreal injection (IVI) of ocriplasmin. Five factors (age, gender, lens status, presence of epiretinal membrane (ERM) formation and horizontal diameter of VMT) were assessed on their association with VMT resolution. A multivariable logistic regression model was employed to further analyse these factors and calculate the individual probability of successful treatment.167 eyes of 167 patients were included. Univariate analysis revealed a significant correlation to VMT resolution for all analysed factors: age (years) (OR 0.9208; 95% CI 0.8845 to 0.9586; p<0.0001), gender (male) (OR 0.480; 95% CI 0.241 to 0.957; p=0.0371), lens status (phakic) (OR 2.042; 95% CI 1.054 to 3.958; p=0.0344), ERM formation (present) (OR 0.384; 95% CI 0.179 to 0.821; p=0.0136) and horizontal VMT diameter (µm) (OR 0.99812; 95% CI 0.99684 to 0.99941, p=0.0042). A significant multivariable logistic regression model was established with age and VMT diameter.Known predictive factors for VMT resolution after ocriplasmin IVI were confirmed in our study. We were able to combine them into a formula, ultimately allowing the calculation of an individual probability of treatment success with ocriplasmin in patients with VMT syndrome without FTHM.
Journal title abbreviation:: Br J Ophthalmol
Year:: 2018
Journal volume:: 102
Journal issue:: 8
Pages contribution:: 1092-1097
Language:: eng
Fulltext / DOI:: doi:10.1136/bjophthalmol-2017-310874
Pubmed ID:: http://view.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/29089354
Print-ISSN:: 0007-1161
TUM Institution:: Klinik und Poliklinik für Augenheilkunde
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mediaTUM Gesamtbestand Einrichtungen Schools TUM School of Medicine and Health Departments Clinical Medicine Klinik und Poliklinik für Augenheilkunde (Prof. Maier komm.)2018