This thesis develops a method for the simulation-based investigation of building performance, explicitly accounting for existing uncertainties in buildings through probabilistic considerations. The total effects of uncertain boundary conditions in the context of building technology, user behavior, and climate change are analyzed using Monte Carlo simulations. Moreover, the method enables the evaluation of the impacts of parameter uncertainties and operational errors in building technology systems, allowing resulting performance gaps to be quantified.
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This thesis develops a method for the simulation-based investigation of building performance, explicitly accounting for existing uncertainties in buildings through probabilistic considerations. The total effects of uncertain boundary conditions in the context of building technology, user behavior, and climate change are analyzed using Monte Carlo simulations. Moreover, the method enables the evaluation of the impacts of parameter uncertainties and operational errors in building technology system...
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