Power generation from renewable energy resources becomes increasingly important, as CO2 emissions have
to be significantly reduced for climate change mitigation. Several geothermal plants with an Organic Rankine
Cycle have been built in the South Bavarian Molasse Basin in the last ten years. They produce electrical power,
independent of solar radiation and wind, with a high annual full load hour percentage and comparatively low
CO2 emissions. However, since the geothermal plants are operated with air condensers and scaling affects
the performance of the electrical submersible pump and thus the lifted thermal water flow rate, the generated
gross electrical power is strongly fluctuating and few operating points can be determined within a year with the
same boundary conditions. Hence, the analysis and evaluation of the time-dependent course of the gross
electrical power output proved difficult for operators of geothermal plants so far. Moreover, the gross electrical
power output is a crucial key performance indicator for monitoring the entire process of Organic Rankine Cycle
power plants in geothermal applications.
For advanced monitoring of the gross electrical power of geothermal plants, an empirical simulation model
based on linear regression is developed and will be presented in this paper. The ambient air temperature of
the location of a geothermal power plant as well as the transferred heat to the power cycle by heat exchangers
are the two variables of a two-dimensional polynomial function of the simulation model, whose regression
coefficients are computed numerically. For this purpose, operating data from a four-year period of a geothermal
power plant with an Organic Rankine Cycle in the south of Munich (Germany) were pre-processed and used.
Polynomial functions of various degrees, different objective functions and varying input data sets for the
numerical computation of polynomial coefficients with linear regression are examined. Regression models for
four years of operation of the investigated geothermal plant were computed and compared with each other. In
addition, linear regression models of the calculated gross electrical efficiency as a function of ambient air
temperature of the reference geothermal plant are also shown. A software application is presented, developed
with MATLAB® App Designer, which enables to evaluate the gross electrical power as well as the gross
electrical efficiency for current single operating points comparatively with the calculated values of the models
of each operation year of the geothermal plant. The developed software application thus facilitates operators
to easily and precisely monitor the gross electrical power output and the gross electrical efficiency as key
performance indicators of their geothermal power plants.
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Power generation from renewable energy resources becomes increasingly important, as CO2 emissions have
to be significantly reduced for climate change mitigation. Several geothermal plants with an Organic Rankine
Cycle have been built in the South Bavarian Molasse Basin in the last ten years. They produce electrical power,
independent of solar radiation and wind, with a high annual full load hour percentage and comparatively low
CO2 emissions. However, since the geothermal plants are oper...
»
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