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Title:

Quantification of incident probabilities using physical and statistical approaches

Document type:
Konferenzbeitrag
Author(s):
Wang, C., Drees, L., Gissibl, N., Hoehndorf, L., Sembiring, J., and Holzapfel, F.
Abstract:
Abstract — This paper provides an overview of methods capable of quantifying the occurrence probabilities of serious incidents for the flight operation of a single airline. Operational flight data is used for the analysis. Extreme value theory can be applied to directly estimate the occurrence probabilities from recorded flight data by making statements beyond existing data points. Both a physical and a statistical approach are used to determine dependencies between contributing factors that can...     »
Book / Congress title:
6th International Conference on Research in Air Transportation. Istanbul, Turkey
Year:
2014
Reviewed:
ja
WWW:
http://www.icrat.org/icrat/2014/pdf/ICRAT2014_PROGRAM_digital_v1.pdf
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