Simple Regression Model for Energy Demand: Case Study in Rural Areas of Nepal

A significant share of Nepal’s rural population still live without access to electricity, many in places where grid extension is not possible. To enable off-grid energy projects, this study analyses survey data from three locations powered by offgrid hydro systems, and determines current and future trends in energy consumption. A simple linear regression model to predict electrical energy demand in rural areas is also presented, based on empirical results on household energy use, including details on commonly used appliances and socio-economic data. The number of various electrical appliances and their use pattern were found to provide better indicators for energy demand than household income or the size of monthly electricity bills.     «

A significant share of Nepal’s rural population still live without access to electricity, many in places where grid extension is not possible. To enable off-grid energy projects, this study analyses survey data from three locations powered by offgrid hydro systems, and determines current and future trends in energy consumption. A simple linear regression model to predict electrical energy demand in rural areas is also presented, based on empirical results on household energy use, including det...     »