Net Position Forecast of Week-Ahead and Day-Ahead Common Grid Models
Subtitle:
Towards improving the coordinated capacity calculation and outage plan- ning coordination process of transmission system operators in Europe by means of machine learning forecast modeling and load flow calculation – A case study of the coupled German, Danish, and Luxembourg bidding zone
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Abstract:
Since 1996, due to a series of European Union regulations, the European electricity market has evolved from being controlled by national monopolies to becoming more liberalized and interconnected. These changes allow for an increased cross-border flow of electricity across Europe and increased market liquidity. The benefits include a more flexible market, making it easier for end- users to plan and secure electricity capacities well in advance, from day-ahead to real-time delivery. Due to the increased interconnectivity of the European grid, the need for both regional and Pan-European cooperation among Trans- mission System Operators (TSOs) led to the creation of entities like the Eu- ropean Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity (ENTSO-E) and the Regional Coordination Centres (RCCs). This thesis focused on investi- gating the current forecasting approach used to perform Net Position Forecast (NPF) within the Day-Ahead and Week-Ahead common grid models (CGMs) used by RCCs to deliver the Day-Ahead Capacity Calculation and the Week- Ahead Outage planning Coordination services to the TSOs. The results show the associated errors from all the existing NPF methods and implemented a new methodology that was used to perform NPF for both the Day-Ahead and the Week-Ahead use cases.
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Since 1996, due to a series of European Union regulations, the European electricity market has evolved from being controlled by national monopolies to becoming more liberalized and interconnected. These changes allow for an increased cross-border flow of electricity across Europe and increased market liquidity. The benefits include a more flexible market, making it easier for end- users to plan and secure electricity capacities well in advance, from day-ahead to real-time delivery. Due to the in...
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Keywords:
Net Position Forecast, Capacity Calculation, Outage Planning, Common Grid Models, Electricity Markets
Subject:
DAT Datenverarbeitung, Informatik; ELT Elektrotechnik; ERG Energietechnik, Energiewirtschaft; MAS Maschinenbau; TEC Technik, Ingenieurwissenschaften (allgemein)
DDC:
000 Informatik, Wissen, Systeme; 600 Technik
Advisor:
Peric, Vedran (Dr.); Kerekes, Andjelka; Hamacher , Thomas (Prof. Dr.)
Referee:
Peric, Vedran (Dr.); Kerekes, Andjelka; Hamacher , Thomas (Prof. Dr.)