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Document type:
Zeitschriftenaufsatz 
Author(s):
Drton, Mathias; Marzban, Caren; Guttorp, Peter; Schaefer, Joseph T. 
Title:
A Markov Chain Model of Tornadic Activity 
Abstract:
Tornadic activity in four U.S. regions is stochastically modeled based on data on tornado counts over the years 1953–98. It is shown that tornadic activity on a given day is mostly affected by the activity on the previous day. Hence, the process can be modeled as a Markov chain. A parametric nonhomogenous Markov chain model is developed based on the well-known increase of tornadic activity in the spring and summer months. This model, with only eight parameters, describes tornadic activity quite...    »
 
Dewey Decimal Classification:
510 Mathematik 
Journal title:
Monthly Weather Review 
Year:
2003 
Journal volume:
131 
Year / month:
2003-12 
Quarter:
4. Quartal 
Month:
Dec 
Journal issue:
12 
Pages contribution:
2941-2953 
Language:
en 
Publisher:
American Meteorological Society 
E-ISSN:
0027-06441520-0493 
Date of publication:
01.12.2003