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Document type:
Zeitschriftenaufsatz 
Author(s):
Bollmann, L.; Scherer, M. 
Title:
Modeling Influenza-Like Illness Activity in the United States 
Abstract:
Influenza causes yearly costs for hospitalization and outpatient visits of more than $10 billion in the US. The prediction of influenza epidemics is thus relevant for health insurance providers and public health facilities, among others. A useful information is the probability distribution of influenza epidemics occurring within a time horizon of one or two years, say. We present a model that delivers confidence intervals for future influenza activity in different regions in the US. The model ta...    »
 
Keywords:
Influenza-like illness, forecasting, pair-copula construction, ARMA-GARCH models 
Journal title:
North American Actuarial Journal 
Year:
2017 
Journal volume:
21 
Journal issue:
Pages contribution:
323-342 
Reviewed:
ja 
Language:
en 
Print-ISSN:
1092-0277 
Notes:
50 Downloads for free: http://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/s65NHpt8Aaa9CZtjsitc/full 
Status:
Verlagsversion / published 
TUM Institution:
Lehrstuhl für Finanzmathematik