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Document type:
Zeitschriftenaufsatz 
Author(s):
Sättele, M. ; Bründl, M. ; Straub, D. 
Title:
Reliability and effectiveness of early warning systems for natural hazards: Concept and application to debris flow warning 
Abstract:
Early Warning Systems (EWS) are increasingly applied to mitigate the risks posed by natural hazards. To compare the effect of EWS with alternative risk reduction measures and to optimize their design and operation, their reliability and effectiveness must be quantified. In the present contribution, a framework approach to the evaluation of threshold-based EWS for natural hazards is presented. The system reliability is classically represented by the Probability of Detection (POD) and Probability...    »
 
Keywords:
Natural hazard; Early warning system; Reliability; Effectiveness; Bayesian Networks; ROC curves 
Journal title:
Reliability Engineering & System Safety 
Year:
2015 
Month:
Oct 
Journal issue:
142 
Pages contribution:
192-202 
Reviewed:
ja 
Language:
en 
Publisher:
Elsevier 
TUM Institution:
FG Risikoanalyse und Zuverlässigkeit