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Dokumenttyp:
Zeitschriftenaufsatz 
Autor(en):
Straub, D. ; Grêt-Regamey, A. 
Titel:
A Bayesian probabilistic framework for avalanche modelling based on observations 
Abstract:
Applied avalanche models are based on parameters which cannot be measured directly. As a consequence, these models are associated with large uncertainties, which must be addressed in risk assessment. To this end, we present an integral probabilistic framework for the modelling of avalanche hazards. The framework is based on a deterministic dynamic avalanche model, which is combined with an explicit representation of the different parameter uncertainties. The probability distribution of these unc...    »
 
Stichworte:
Avalanches; Natural hazards; Bayesian analysis; Risk assessment; Uncertainty modelling; Land-use planning 
Dewey Dezimalklassifikation:
620 Ingenieurwissenschaften 
Zeitschriftentitel:
Cold Regions Science and Technology 
Jahr:
2006 
Band / Volume:
46 
Monat:
Oct 
Heft / Issue:
Seitenangaben Beitrag:
192–203 
Reviewed:
ja 
Sprache:
en 
Verlag / Institution:
Elsevier 
Status:
Verlagsversion / published 
Angenommen (von Zeitschrift):
22.08.2006 
Publikationsdatum:
27.10.2006 
TUM Einrichtung:
FG Risikoanalyse und Zuverlässigkeit 
Format:
Bild/Text 
Eingabe:
24.09.2015 
Letzte Änderung:
24.09.2015